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How Will You Get from How Things Are to How Things "Should" Be?

    A lot of people get fixated on things that they think "should" happen, but fail to address substantial obstacles in the way. I may even agree with them about what I think "should" happen. But that doesn't mean that it's going to happen. If you're thinking that there is also a danger in being overly cautious or waiting to work out the perfect plan, you're right. That can become a form of procrastination. Acting on an imperfect plan is usually better than waiting until you've worked out every last detail. But at least have some kind of plan that doesn't require a miracle to happen.

    The plan that works will also probably not be the plan you started with. You will have to update the plan as you proceed and the situation evolves.

    A good model for this process is John Boyd's OODA decision making loop. OODA stands for Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. Actions produce responses that provide new information. New information requires reorientation and new decisions will have to be made that lead to new actions, and the loop repeats.

    No big changes happened because a bunch of people sat around complaining about how things "should be."

    That's like saying "l should be a millionaire." You could be, but you're going to need some kind of plan to get there that realistically acknowledges the obstacles in your way.

    Many of the problems we face today took years to create.

    We have inherited a big mess. A lot of things happened that "should not" have happened. Mistakes were made.

    But that's life. It's going to throw all kinds of things at you that are sub-optimal. Things you didn't "deserve" or ask for. Cleaning up messes you didn't create is as normal as dealing with bad weather.

    Some messes only require a dustpan.

    But if you want to clean up a really big mess, you're going to need a plan.

Fonte: https://mrjackdonovan.substack.com/p/the-flow-chart

Four ‘extraordinary’ Renaissance paintings stolen from Italian museum

By Aleks Phillips

(Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqjxx2gzd9qo – text specially adapted for this test). 

Read text I and answer the  question that follow it.

TEXT I

The Growing Complexity of Airspace

        The aviation industry has witnessed unprecedented growth in recent years. The number of flights, both commercial and private, has surged, resulting in a more congested airspace. This increased traffic volume places immense strain on air traffic controllers, who must manage a complex web of aircraft movements with precision and efficiency.

        Moreover, the integration of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs or drones) into the airspace adds another layer of complexity. While drones offer various benefits, their unregulated use poses significant risks to commercial aviation. Harmonizing the operations of manned and unmanned aircraft is a major challenge that requires careful consideration and robust regulations.

        Despite advancements in aviation technology, the air traffic control system still relies heavily on outdated infrastructure and systems. Many air traffic control centers operate with aging equipment that is prone to failures and lacks the capacity to handle the increasing volume of traffic. This infrastructure gap can lead to delays, inefficiencies, and safety concerns.

         Furthermore, the integration of new technologies, such as advanced automation and data analytics, has been slow. While these technologies hold the potential to revolutionize air traffic management, their implementation has been hindered by various factors, including cost, interoperability, and cybersecurity concerns.

        Air traffic control is a high-pressure job that demands exceptional focus, decision-making skills, and situational awareness. While air traffic controllers undergo rigorous training, human error remains a significant risk factor. Factors such as fatigue, stress, and workload can contribute to mistakes that have serious consequences. […]

        The increasing reliance on technology in the aviation industry has made it a prime target for cyberattacks. Air traffic control systems are critical infrastructure and must be protected from malicious actors. A successful cyberattack could have catastrophic consequences, including loss of life and economic damage. […]

        Addressing the problems facing air traffic control requires a multi-faceted approach involving collaboration between government agencies, aviation industry stakeholders, and technology providers.

Adapted from https://birminghamjournal.co.uk/ problems-with-air-traffic-control-today/

Japan in the Ancient World 

Japanese archaeologists divide the earliest part of Japanese history into four periods: the Paleolithic (preceramic) period, the Jomon (cord-marked pottery) period, the Yayoi period, and the Kofun (burial mound) period. Underlying this chronology, however, are two basic problems: First, who are the Japanese, and where did they come from? Second, how do the Japanese or "proto-Japanese" relate to the Ainu, a group of people who have resided in Japan since about 7500 B.C.E. but differ racially, culturally, and linguistically from modern Japanese in significant ways? 

Paleolithic Japan (before 10,000 B.C.E.)

The Japanese islands have probably been occupied by humans for at least 30,000 years, if not longer. However, 10,000 years ago, Paleolithic Japan was a cooler place, and the sea level was 125 feet (38 meters) lower; therefore, some of the archaeological evidence of the earliest inhabitants is submerged. These hunters and gatherers, who had an extensive stone-tool inventory, most likely came to southern Japan through present-day Korea or to northern Japan from eastern Siberia, though there is abundant evidence of land connections to Asia at this time throughout the islands. It appears that the complete physical separation of the Japanese islands occurred only as recently as 18,000 to 12,000 years ago.

Jomon period (c. 10,000-c. 300 B.C.E.)

Starting about 13,000 years ago, when the Japanese climate began to warm, beautiful local pottery traditions—characterized by complex impressions made by twisted cords or sticks on the outside of pots before baking—abruptly appeared at various locales. Such ceramics eventually became commonplace throughout the islands. The Jomon people (named for this distinctive "cord-marked" ceramic style) were probably the direct descendants of the people of the previous Paleolithic traditions. They were very successful at hunting, fishing, and gathering, and because of the numerous rivers and rugged coastlines, they were largely sedentary. Shell mounds all over the islands indicate how extensively the ocean and rivers were exploited by Jomon people. The Jomon pottery eventually came to show distinctive regional styles, suggesting the existence of rather well-defined cultural groups and local folk traditions.

Yayoi (c. 300 B.C.E.-c. 300 C.E.)

About two thousand years ago, a distinct break occurred in the archaeological record. In Kyushu, the southernmost main island of Japan, bronze from the Korean peninsula and a newer style of earthenware pottery appeared, and iron smelting was developed. These changes characterize the Yayoi period, named after the district in modern Tokyo where certain artifacts were first discovered. The Yayoi period also saw the beginning of Japanese-style intensive irrigated wet-rice cultivation, which became the main means of subsistence for almost everyone on the islands. This agrarian rice-based economy—with basically the same kind of farming practices—would persist until Japan's westernization in the late nineteenth century.

However, controversy surrounds the origins of this culture. The Yayoi people may have come from overseas and replaced the earlier Jomon people (as evidenced by the presence of many new technologies from abroad). For many years, Japanese archaeologists have assumed this to be true, with the implication being that the Jomon people are the ancestors of modern Ainu, and modern Japanese are the descendants of those who migrated from the Asian mainland during the Yayoi and Kofun periods. However, a majority of archaeologists feel that the record probably indicates a gradual but direct continuity from Jomon people to early, but historically identifiable, Japanese, with any migration from the mainland blending in with the local cultures. In either case, by the end of the Yayoi period, certain institutional structures were in place—a division of labor, the accumulation of prestige and luxury goods by particular individuals, and the rise of complex political organizations—which created a more stratified society, allowing for the development of a full-fledged Japanese state in the Kofun period.

https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/history/japan-ancient-world