The United Kingdom (UK) government is developing a
“murder prediction” programme which it hopes can use personal
data of those known to the authorities to identify the people most
likely to become killers. Researchers are alleged to be using
algorithms to analyse the information of thousands of people,
including victims of crime, as they try to identify those at greatest
risk of committing serious violent offences.
The Ministry of Justice (MoJ) says the scheme will “review
offender characteristics that increase the risk of committing
homicide” and “explore alternative and innovative data science
techniques to risk assessment of homicide”. The project would
“provide evidence towards improving risk assessment of serious
crime and ultimately contribute to protecting the public via better
analysis”, a spokesperson added.
The MoJ hopes the project will help boost public safety, but
campaigners have called it “chilling and dystopian”.
Sofia Lyall, a researcher for Statewatch, the pressure group that
discovered the existence of the project, said: “Time and again, research
shows that algorithmic systems for ‘predicting’ crime are inherently
flawed. This latest model […] will reinforce and magnify the structural
discrimination underpinning the criminal legal system.”
“Like other systems of its kind, it will code in bias towards
racialised and low-income communities. Building an automated
tool to profile people as violent criminals is deeply wrong, and
using such sensitive data on mental health, addiction and disability
is highly intrusive and alarming,” added Lyall.
When text CG1A7 states that “The MoJ hopes the project will help
boost public safety” (third paragraph), it means the Ministry of
Justice is expressing